A universal truth about market bubbles is that they’re masters of disguise. Each new bubble appears different enough, on the surface, to lure new investors. While market bubbles are almost as old as the market itself, the latest example—centered around the cryptocurrency exchange FTX—is particularly [...]
Crypto lessons
Since the beginning of the year, the stock market has dropped nearly 25%. That’s significant, but it doesn’t compare to the losses experienced by cryptocurrency investors. Dogecoin is down more than 90%, and smaller currencies like terra have lost essentially all their value. Even bitcoin and [...]
Time for a change
Each year, the investment consulting firm Callan publishes an illustration called the periodic table of investment returns. It illustrates the performance of key asset classes on a year-by-year basis. That information is widely available, but Callan’s periodic table is unique: Each asset class is [...]
Phillips’s four horsemen
Don Phillips is a former CEO of the research firm Morningstar. In a recent commentary, Phillips discussed what he called the “four horsemen of the investor apocalypse.” I hasten to add that Phillips isn’t predicting any kind of apocalypse. Rather, he wanted to highlight factors that can cause [...]
Ominous predictions
In a note to clients this week, Deutsche Bank analysts wrote that they expect a “major recession.” Are you wondering what to make of ominous predictions like this? Below are some suggestions. First, don’t panic. Yes, Deutsche Bank is a big institution. But it's worth noting that this week two [...]
